It was another successful weekend for us in Week of the NFL season, as we put together another 5-2 week with another successful Lock of the Week. That brings our current season record to a solid 19-13-2, and the Lock of the Week bounced back to get to 4-1 on the year. And I won't let my readers forget that the lone casualty to the Lock came from Patrick Mahomes' decision to slide at the one-yard line two weeks ago against the Jets.
I've got seven more picks for Week 6 as we continue our so far successful season. I've been kind of on a hot streak over the last three weeks after a subpar start. So let's keep the ball rolling this week. Baltimore Ravens -4.0 vs. Tennessee Titans
Using last week's game in London as a reference, it's clear that the travel arrangements for games overseas make a seemingly big impact in those contests. The Jaguars, who had already been in London for over a week, came out hot and beat the Bills despite being pretty significant underdogs. Buffalo looked quite stagnant after flying in on Thursday night, which is exactly what the Titans will be doing this week. The Ravens, on the other hand, flew out very early in the week and will have plenty of time to adjust to the time change before Sunday.
As an added note, despite coming off an ugly loss, Baltimore would've beaten the Steelers by double digits without all the uncharacteristic dropped passes they suffered. The Titans were not good at all in their road loss to the Colts, who played their backup QB for much of the game. I expect the Ravens to win by a touchdown or more to bounce back from last week's frustrating performance. Indianapolis Colts +4.0 at Jacksonville Jaguars Speaking of both the Colts and Jaguars, the two teams will face off this week for already the second time this season. The Jags are coming back from two straight weeks in London, and it feels like a proper time for a let down game after their 2-0 performance there and a big win against Buffalo. The Colts are 3-0 in games in which Gardner Minshew has played, and had the Jags on the ropes in the fourth quarter of their first matchup in Week 1. I know Colts fans are disappointed with Anthony Richardson's injury bug early in his career, but it honestly seems like Minshew gives the team the best chance to win right now. Though they've struggled in recent years in Jacksonville, I could see Indianapolis winning this game outright. But I'll stick with the cover instead. New Orleans Saints -1.0 at Houston Texans I was a little surprised when I saw this line. I've been just as impressed as anyone by C.J. Stroud's and the Texans' performance early in the season, but I think the Saints are a going to be a legitimate contender in the NFC by the end of the regular season. And what could be better for the team's confidence than a 34-0 shutout victory in Alvin Kamara's first game back from suspension. I like Houston's long-term potential and they won't be as bad as most people expected, but I like the Saints to build off last week's performance to pile on another win on Sunday. Chicago Bears +2.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings I never thought I'd side with the Bears at all this year after how they started the season, but that offense is actually looking really good now that the Justin Fields and D.J. Moore connection has started to click. In his last two games, Fields has 699 total yards, 8 touchdowns, and just one interception. And we all saw what Moore did last week to the Commanders. (As a side note, I had D.J. Moore put up 49 fantasy points for me in one of my leagues and Ja'Marr Chase score 52 for me in my other league, and I lost in both leagues...) Chicago gets to go back home now and take on the Justin Jefferson-less Vikings. There are rumbles of a Kirk Cousins trade if Minnesota drops further out of the division race, and a loss to the Bears could be just what prompts that. For maybe the only time this season, give me the Bears to cover and perhaps even win. New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders Under 41.5 Neither team in this matchup has scored more than 20 points in a game all year, and the Patriots have posted a measly total of three points in their last two games. The Pats offense is a disaster and I don't see it getting any better in a tough matchup against the front seven of the Raiders. Both teams have had four of their five games stay under the point total, and we should get to five out of six after this week. New England is bound to start playing better at some point, and I think the outcome could be something like 20-16 one way or the other. Lock of the Week: Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins Over 47.5 Look, I know Miami will be without the electric rookie De'Von Achane for a few games, but there's a chance the Dolphins still reach this number by themselves. It feels like the Panthers organization is falling apart right now with fans already calling Bryce Young a bust while watching C.J. Stroud perform well in Houston. I was tempted to take the Dolphins to cover again, but the number is a little high for me even though I think there's a pretty good chance it hits. We should have no problem at all getting over the point total to take the Lock of the Week to 5-1 on the year. Written by Nick Swatson Photo: "NFL Week 3: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles" by All-Pro Reels is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.
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