It's nearly time for the most anticipated football game of the year. Made even more popular than it already was with the addition of the Swiftie army into the mix. While there has been some disdain for the matchup we got this season, I'm in the seemingly unpopular camp who is excited for what should be a really good matchup featuring the two most deserving teams this postseason. I know a lot of people are already sick of seeing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the big game, and to that I say: get used to it. There is also the contingency that thinks Brock Purdy is a fraud and has been carried by San Francisco's abundance of offensive talent, and to that I say: there might be some truth to that.
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If you took my betting advice for the Divisional round last weekend, I apologize. I went an unprecedented 0-4 on the week, as nothing went right for the bets I gave out. It was just one of those Murphy's Law weekends where everything that could go wrong, did go wrong. But I'm a firm believer in another law: the law of averages. And that means we're basically guaranteed to go undefeated in our picks across the two conference championship matchups on Sunday. So let me go ahead and give you your ticket to financial success in the penultimate weekend of the NFL season. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs AND Under 44.5
Round 1 of the 2024 NFL playoffs is complete. And if your favorite team is still standing... must be nice. Despite an abnormally high amount of blowouts in Wild Card weekend, there was still a lot to discuss about each game. And that's what I did in an article I wrote earlier this week that you can read HERE. I went 2-2 last week, with one of my losses being a bad beat with the over in the Rams/Lions game. Those two teams scored 38 points in the first half and couldn't manage just 14 more in the second half. It definitely put a bit of a damper on my Sunday evening, but I bounced back Monday night with a win on the under for the Bucs/Eagles matchup. But today, my only goal is to look to the future and give out a bet in each of the four Divisional games this weekend that are sure to make you money. And there's no need to delay that. So here are my four favorite plays of the Divisional round. Houston Texans +9.5 at Baltimore Ravens
Playoff football is here and after a ho-hum 3-3 betting record in the final week of the regular season, I'm excited to try to get back on the winning side of things in the first round of the postseason. â Before we get into my favorite picks for the opening round of the playoffs, I wanted to give a brief recap of my betting performance for the 2023 regular season.
For the most part, when I was right on New Year's weekend, I was very right. But on the bets I missed, I completely whiffed. It was nearly a wash of a week betting wise but we did manage to barely come out on top with the Lock of the Week cashing by half a point in Sunday night's contest. That brings our season record to a healthy 61-53-3. We have one more week to push for a higher win percentage before the playoffs begin, as well as one final Lock of the Week to attempt to secure a .750 win percentage for its season.
Christmas weekend was exactly what we needed to right the ship after a horrendously unlucky betting performance the week before. Our 5-2 run brings us to 57-50-3 on the season. Not bad, but I'd like for it to be better. And that's why I'm giving out seven winners in this penultimate week of regular season football. As a side note, the Lock of the Week has experienced a bit of a skid and now sits at 10-6 on the season. If we can hit these last two weeks, then a .750 win percentage for the Weekly Lock will be quite an achievement.
Last week was an utter disaster for my picks I gave out. But while I'm willing to take responsibility for any bad advice I produce, I have to admit that there was a lot of bad luck involved in my 1-6 performance on Sunday.
The 2023 bowl predictions from BSSR have returned for the 2023-24 bowl season after a two-year hiatus. For this season, we shortened it by only picking the games after Christmas, which feature more Power 5 teams that we are more familiar with as a group. While in the past we simply picked the winners straight up, we're also switching things up by picking each game against the spread. We'll see if we're as effective at picking out-of-conference matchups as we were at picking games in the SEC this season. If you missed my analysis of this year's BSSR SEC Betting Challenge and want to check it out to decide if you can trust our bowl picks, click here.
We were oh so close to a perfect record in Week 14. Our only two misses were Jacksonville +3 at Cleveland and Baltimore to cover 7.5 against the Rams. Tragically, the Jaguars scored a late touchdown that I thought would get us to at least a push in that game. But they decided to go for two and missed it, ending with a four-point deficit. The Ravens struggled a bit more with the Rams than I anticipated, and ended up winning by six points in overtime. That means we lost those two bets by a total of 2.5 points.
A bit of a down week for us last weekend, as we wrapped up on Sunday night with a 3-4 record after the Packers surprisingly put up 27 points on the Chiefs. That brings our season record to a still okay 46-40-3. I'd like to create a bit more separation in the win/loss column here in Week 14. The good news is that the Lock of the Week was never in doubt last week. Unless you consider needing two blocked punts, a missed extra point, and a TD on the second possession of overtime being "in doubt." I certainly don't. |