We had a rough start to our bets on Sunday, but rebounded in a major way to finish the week with a 4-2-1 record. The Lock of the Week also hit, bringing that to a very impressive 7-2 on the season. I think it was also the biggest spread I've taken with my weekly Lock, but it paid off as the Cowboys wrangled the Giants with ease.
We now sit at 34-31-3 on the season, and we'll try to push further into plus .500 territory in what should be an intriguing week of football. Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Over 33.0
All signs point to taking the under in this game... Which is why I'm going with the over. I've picked two games in the last two weeks that I thought were utter locks to stay under the point total, and neither of them did. In fact, the one I bet on two weeks ago was the highest scoring game of that week. Now, I don't expect this game to be that drastically firework filled, but the number is so low that it's hard to resist - even with a backup QB and a futile offense on the other side. There's a solid chance that both defenses score touchdowns in this game, which would certainly help our cause. But my gut tells me to stick with the over in this important divisional matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers Under 41.5 On the other hand, I do like the under in this matchup. And I'll tell you why: Nick Bosa and Chase Young. That combination (as well as the rest of the Niners' defense) was outstanding last week in their rout of the Jaguars. For that reason, I'm not sure if the Bucs will top 10 points on Sunday. There should be a heavy dose of run plays from both sides to shorten the game and keep the clock moving, and I don't think San Francisco will explode offensively like they did last week. I'm feeling around a 24-10 win for the 49ers to stay safely under the point total. New York Jets +7.0 at Buffalo Bills The Bills are not the same football team that we've seen the last couple years. And the already struggling Josh Allen now has to face one of the toughest and most opportune defenses in the league. The Jets already got the better of the Bills with Zach Wilson under center, and that should give New York some extra confidence in a massive game for both sides with playoff positioning on the line. I expect Buffalo, who just fired their offensive coordinator despite a special teams penalty costing them the game, to still win this one. But I don't think Buffalo is beating anyone by more than a touchdown right now. It worked for us last week in their game against Denver, and it'll work this week as well. Seattle Seahawks -1.0 at Los Angeles Rams The Rams have been atrocious in their last three games. Granted, one of them was without Matthew Stafford. But the Seahawks are simply the better team to me, and they'll want revenge after losing to the Rams in their season opener. I think the offensive talent of Seattle will be too much for L.A., though I don't expect a ton of points to be scored on either side. Let's not forget that the Seahawks are tied for first in the NFC West with the 49ers, so they have a ton to play for still despite flying under the radar a bit - similarly to last year. Seattle will win and cover against their division rivals on Sunday. Minnesota Vikings +2.0 at Denver Broncos I'm all in on the Josh Dobbs hype, as what he's done in his short time as Minnesota has been nothing short of miraculous. I've wanted to bet on the Vikings in both of the last two weeks (even though he wasn't supposed to play against the Falcons), but I haven't been confident enough to commit to it. That is, until today. The Broncos have certainly looked improved in their three-game win streak, but Minnesota has now won five in a row and the confidence in their locker room must be skyrocketing. Denver isn't built to blow out teams, so this game should come down to the final drive no matter what. I like the Vikings to actually go on the road and win again on Sunday night. Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs Over 44.5 I have to put some action on this game, because it's definitely the most anticipated game of the season so far. Not only is it a Super Bowl rematch, but when you factor in the Kelce brother feud and the Taylor Swift storylines, it's a sports media company's dream matchup. On the field, I think the Chiefs are going to have to finally make some plays on offense to keep up with the Eagles, who are scoring among the league's best this season (third overall to be exact). There will be fireworks in this game, and I honestly don't know who will come out on top. And that's why I'm taking the over. Lock of the Week: Dallas Cowboys -10.5 at Carolina Panthers This spread still feels too low if I'm being honest. The Cowboys' offense is red hot right now, and the Panthers can't score with any consistency. This game has the potential to end up like Dallas' last game against the Giants, but I do think Carolina will be able to keep it a little closer than New York did. It doesn't matter, however, because the Cowboys will win by two touchdowns minimum to continue their hot streak. They'll also stretch our Lock of the Week to 8-2 when we ride them to another wide spread cover. This almost feels like cheating... Written by Nick Swatson Photo: "NFL Week 3: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles" by All-Pro Reels is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.
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