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NCAAF - SEC Bets - Week 11

11/8/2022

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Week 9 in the SEC featured the most tightly contested matchups as a whole out of any week thus far.  Four of the seven games were decided by less than a touchdown, while the largest margin was Florida's impressive 17-point victory at Texas A&M.

Georgia proved they are college footballs top dogs (or dawgs) on Saturday, dominating the CFP's initial #1 team, Tennessee, in a game that wasn't as close as the 14-point margin suggests.  While we were let down a bit by that result, LSU and Alabama made up for it, as LSU converted a two-point conversion on the game's final play in overtime to knock off Bama at home, effectively ending the Tide's chance at a playoff appearance.  Is Nick Saban's dynasty on the verge of a downturn?  Or, since Alabama is only 2-2 in one-score games, are they simply a victim of bad luck?  We'll see how they rebound in 2023.

The SEC has five teams ranked in the top 11 according to the CFP poll heading into Week 11.  They are all theoretically still in the playoff conversation, though you would think LSU, Alabama, and Ole Miss all would need significant help if they are to make a compelling case to the committee come Selection Day.  #1 Georgia and #5 Tennessee are double digit favorites this week and should win relatively easily.  #7 LSU travels to Arkansas in what could be a tough game for the Tigers.  And #9 Alabama and #11 Ole Miss will meet in Oxford, the winner striking a dagger into the heart of the loser to deliver a final blow.

The BSSR experts had rough outings last week, with only Alex securing an overall winning record for the week.  We'll all get back on track in Week 11.

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Missouri at #5 Tennessee (TENN -20.5, O/U 56.5)
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#7 LSU at Arkansas (LSU -3.0, O/U 63.5)
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Vanderbilt at #24 Kentucky (UK -18.0, O/U 48.0)
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#9 Alabama at #11 Ole Miss (ALA -11.5, O/U 63.5)
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South Carolina at Florida (FLA -7.5, O/U 59.0)
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#1 Georgia at Mississippi State (UGA -16.0, O/U 53.5)
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Texas A&M at Auburn (AUB -2.0, O/U 48.5)
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Written by Nick Swatson
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